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FMCG / CPGChangeover CreepEstimate creep versus best repeatable time

Changeover Creep Estimation

Estimate how far transition times have drifted beyond the best repeatable time per transition family. Lower MAE is better.

Metric

MAE (min)

Baseline

Changeover Creep Analyzer

Submissions

14

Updated

2026-06-17

Leaderboard

RankSubmitterModelTypeScoreDate
1k.almeidatransition-gbmResearch implementation2.42026-06-17
2materealchangeover-creep-analyzerBaseline model2.82026-06-11
3s.iyerfamily-meanBaseline model3.62026-06-03

Entries are reference and research submissions on the open split. Scores are illustrative and require plant-specific validation for industrial use.

Task definition

Evaluation metric

MAE (min)

Submission rules

  1. 1

    Report MAE against the best repeatable time per transition family.

  2. 2

    Rare families are scored separately in the submission notes.

Discussion

  • s.

    s.iyer

    ML researcher · 2d

    Question

    Are ensemble submissions allowed, or single-model only? Worth stating explicitly in the rules.

    7
  • ma

    matereal

    Maintainer · 2d

    Comment

    Ensembles are allowed if reproducible from the submitted artifacts. We'll clarify in the next rules revision.

    5
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